Stocks quoted in this article:
Ahead of tomorrow's turn in the earnings confessional, CBOE Holdings, Inc. (CBOE - 26.01) received a price-target cut to $21 from $27 -- as well as a downgrade to "underperform" from "market perform" -- at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods early this morning. However, call players appear to have shrugged off the analyst attention, as well as the company's plans to merge two major divisions. Nearly 4,100 of these options have crossed the tape so far, reflecting four times the equity's expected intraday volume. Most popular among investors is the at-the-money February 26 strike, where at least 3,279 calls have been traded -- about three-quarters of them at the bid price, pointing to seller-fueled volume. Currently, this option is home to peak call open interest of 8,249 contracts, so it's difficult to say with certainty whether new positions are being opened here today.
Either way, this preference for CBOE calls over puts is par for the course. The Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) stands at 0.26, confirming that calls nearly quadruple puts among options expiring within three months. In fact, this ratio ranks in only the 14th percentile of its annual range, which means that near-term options players have been more call-heavy toward the stock just 14% of the time over the past year.
Furthermore, data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) reveals a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 4.29 for the exchange operator. In other words, calls bought to open have more than quadrupled puts during the past couple of weeks. This ratio registers in the 63rd annual percentile, indicating that traders have been buying bullish options over bearish at an accelerated clip.
However, short interest on CBOE shot up by 23.07% during the most recent reporting period, suggesting that some of the recent call volume could be attributed to short sellers looking to hedge their bets. Still, the equity's bearish camp is far from crowded, as these shorted shares make up a modest 2.28% of the stock's float.
On the technical front, CBOE has underperformed the broader S&P 500 Index (SPX) by more than 8% during the past 60 sessions. Even so, a look at the charts shows that the stock is still on pace to close a second consecutive week atop its 10-week moving average, which had served as a ceiling over the equity since mid-December.
It should also be noted that CBOE is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter earnings before tomorrow's opening bell, and has bested analysts' consensus bottom-line estimates in all of the past four quarters. At last check, however, CBOE is down about 2.7% to hover in the $26.01 area.
permalink